Bodrumspor vs Sariyer Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 38 Grey Beton Bodrum Stadyumu· Bodrum Saturday, May 2, 2026 13:00

Bodrumspor PPG 2.06

0-1 MISS

Sariyer PPG 0.89

Draw· -5.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bodrumspor face Sariyer in Turkey - 1. Lig on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bodrumspor a 55% chance, the draw 27% and Sariyer 18%, so Bodrumspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Bodrumspor and 0.9 for Sariyer (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bodrumspor are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 0.89 for Sariyer. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.2%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -6.2%

Draw 26.6%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -5.6%

Away 18.2%

Odds: 4.33 EV: -21.2%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.1% Odds: 1.80 -8.0%

Over 3.5 29.0% Odds: 3.00 -13.0%

BTTS 52.4% Odds: 1.73 -9.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bodrumspor

1.77

Sariyer

0.95

Model SuggestionHome -6.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -6.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=55.2%