Corum vs Erzurum BB Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 38 Corum Stadyumu· Corum Saturday, May 2, 2026 13:00

Corum PPG 2.22

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Erzurum BB PPG 2.06

Away· +73.7% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Corum face Erzurum BB in Turkey - 1. Lig on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Corum a 31% chance, the draw 30% and Erzurum BB 39%, so Erzurum BB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Corum and 1.4 for Erzurum BB (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Corum are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 2.06 for Erzurum BB. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +73.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.2%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -47.0%

Draw 30.2%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +4.2%

Away 38.6%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +73.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.7% Odds: 1.95 -7.0%

Over 3.5 26.0% Odds: 3.45 -10.3%

BTTS 54.3% Odds: 1.83 -0.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Corum

1.21

Erzurum BB

1.37

Model SuggestionBTTS -0.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+73.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.22), Away EXCELLENT (2.06)