Amed SK vs Bodrumspor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 37 Diyarbakir Stadium· Diyarbakir Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Amed SK PPG 2.56

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Bodrumspor PPG 1.44

Away· +39.7% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Amed SK face Bodrumspor in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Amed SK a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Bodrumspor 25%, so Amed SK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Amed SK and 1.3 for Bodrumspor (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Amed SK are averaging 2.56 points per game versus 1.44 for Bodrumspor. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +39.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%

Odds: 1.48 EV: -31.5%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +16.0%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 5.50 EV: +39.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.65 -2.6%

Over 3.5 42.1% Odds: 2.60 +9.5%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.70 -0.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Amed SK

2.01

Bodrumspor

1.30

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+39.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.56) vs P(Home)=46.3%