Igdir vs Amed SK Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 38 Igdir Sehir Stadyumu· Iğdır Saturday, May 2, 2026 13:00

Igdir PPG 1.39

3-3 MISS

Amed SK PPG 1.44

Home· +69.2% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Igdir face Amed SK in Turkey - 1. Lig on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Igdir a 28% chance, the draw 28% and Amed SK 44%, so Amed SK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Igdir and 1.6 for Amed SK (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Igdir are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.44 for Amed SK. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +69.2%. This match finished 3-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.2%

Odds: 6.00 EV: +69.2%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +16.8%

Away 44.0%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -36.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.1% Odds: 1.55 -14.6%

Over 3.5 32.8% Odds: 2.35 -22.9%

BTTS 59.3% Odds: 1.65 -2.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Igdir

1.27

Amed SK

1.62

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+69.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.39), Away AVERAGE (1.44)