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Italy - Serie B Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30 
Monza PPG 2.50 
Empoli PPG 0.78
Italy - Serie B Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30 Monza PPG 2.502-2 MISS
Empoli PPG 0.78Away· +3.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.70 -20.9%
Over 3.5 23.2% Odds: 2.80 -21.0%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.70 -16.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Monza 1.75
Empoli 0.71
Model Suggestion
Home -15.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -15.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+3.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+3.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 40 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 57%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 6.9%
Bet Hit 59% (17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=51.0%