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Italy - Serie B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 38 Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia· Pescara Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30
Pescara logo Pescara PPG 1.17
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Spezia logo Spezia PPG 0.72
Draw· -0.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.0%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -5.5%
Draw 27.2%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -0.4%
Away 27.8%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -8.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.2% Odds: 1.57 -10.2%
Over 3.5 32.3% Odds: 2.40 -22.5%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.48 -13.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Pescara
1.61
Spezia
1.26

Model Suggestion

BTTS -13.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.72)

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