Today / Argentina - Primera Nacional / Godoy Cruz vs Chaco For Ever

Godoy Cruz vs Chaco For Ever Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 24 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 19:30

Godoy Cruz

PPG 2.27 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Chaco For Ever

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 58.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-15.3%0-21.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-016.6%1-19.6%1-22.8%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.0%2-18.7%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.1%3-15.3%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-13.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.3% 63.7% 1.57 -8.5%

Draw 23.6% 30.8% 3.25 -14.0%

Away win 18.2% 16.1% 6.20 +7.7%

Over 2.5 50.3% 43.5% 2.30 +15.7%

Over 3.5 28.8% 23.1% 4.33 +14.8%

BTTS 48.4% 45.5% 2.20 +6.5%

Home O1.5 50.4% 51.8% 1.93 -2.7%

Away O1.5 17.4% 19.0% 5.25 -5.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 233 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 49%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.4%

H 58% / xG 1.8-0.6 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.6%

#2 2–0 15.0%

#3 1–1 9.6%

#4 0–0 9.1%

#5 3–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Godoy Cruz1.8

Chaco For Ever0.6

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GODOY CRUZ · PPG 2.27

CHACO FOR EVER · PPG 0.82

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.24 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Godoy Cruz (H) 58.3%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -8.5%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -14.0%

Chaco For Ever (A) 18.2%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV +7.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Godoy Cruz face Chaco For Ever in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Godoy Cruz a 58% chance, the draw 24% and Chaco For Ever 18%, so Godoy Cruz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Godoy Cruz and 0.6 for Chaco For Ever (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Godoy Cruz are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 0.82 for Chaco For Ever. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +18.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Godoy Cruz vs Chaco For Ever Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera Nacional Predictions