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Racing Cordoba vs San Miguel Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 24 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 19:00

Racing Cordoba

PPG 1.91 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

San Miguel

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.74 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.6%0-18.2%0-22.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.7%1-111.9%1-24.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-18.6%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.9%3-14.1%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-12.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.2% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 20.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 26.7% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 233 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 49%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.4%

H 52% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 16.7%

#2 1–1 11.9%

#3 0–0 11.6%

#4 2–0 12.1%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Cordoba1.4

San Miguel0.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 1.91

SAN MIGUEL · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.74 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Racing Cordoba (H) 52.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

San Miguel (A) 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Cordoba face San Miguel in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Cordoba a 52% chance, the draw 27% and San Miguel 21%, so Racing Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Racing Cordoba and 0.7 for San Miguel (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Cordoba are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 0.91 for San Miguel. This match finished 1-0.

Racing Cordoba vs San Miguel Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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