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Atlanta vs Temperley Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 24 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 17:00

Atlanta

PPG 1.92 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Temperley

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-19.5%0-23.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.5%1-112.3%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.4%2-18.0%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.9%3-13.5%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.0% 50.0% 2.00 -2.0%

Draw 27.5% 37.0% 2.70 -15.4%

Away win 23.5% 23.8% 4.20 -0.8%

Over 2.5 44.0% 35.1% 2.85 +25.4%

Over 3.5 22.0% 15.4% 6.50 +25.8%

BTTS 48.4% 44.4% 2.25 +8.9%

Home O1.5 37.4% 38.5% 2.60 -2.8%

Away O1.5 17.4% 22.2% 4.50 -13.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 233 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 49%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.4%

H 49% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 17.5%

#2 0–0 13.5%

#3 1–1 12.3%

#4 2–0 11.4%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atlanta1.3

Temperley0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLANTA · PPG 1.92

TEMPERLEY · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Atlanta (H) 49.0%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -2.0%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -15.4%

Temperley (A) 23.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -0.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Atlanta face Temperley in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlanta a 49% chance, the draw 28% and Temperley 24%, so Atlanta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Atlanta and 0.7 for Temperley (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlanta are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.33 for Temperley. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +33.9%. This match finished 1-0.

Atlanta vs Temperley Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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