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All Boys vs Central Norte Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 24 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 18:00

All Boys

PPG 1.55 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Central Norte

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.9%0-111.4%0-22.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.6%1-110.4%1-22.3%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-010.8%2-14.7%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.3%3-11.4%3-20.3%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% — — —

Draw 32.2% — — —

Away win 21.5% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 15.2% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 12.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 233 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 49%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.6%

H 46% / xG 0.9-0.4 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.9%

#2 1–0 23.6%

#3 1–1✓ 10.4%

#4 2–0 10.8%

#5 0–1 11.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

All Boys0.9

Central Norte0.4

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ALL BOYS · PPG 1.55

CENTRAL NORTE · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.47, combined xG 1.35 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

All Boys (H) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Central Norte (A) 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

All Boys face Central Norte in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives All Boys a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Central Norte 22%, so All Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for All Boys and 0.4 for Central Norte (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, All Boys are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.67 for Central Norte. This match finished 1-1.

All Boys vs Central Norte Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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