Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 / Vidar vs Eik-Tønsberg

Vidar vs Eik-Tønsberg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 13:00

Vidar

PPG 0.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eik-Tønsberg

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-18.0%0-25.9%0-32.9%0-4+1.5%1 1-07.8%1-111.5%1-28.5%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.6%2-18.3%2-26.1%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.7%3-14.0%3-22.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.4% 35.1% 2.85 +18.0%

Draw 24.6% 27.4% 3.65 -6.1%

Away win 34.1% 47.6% 2.10 -28.4%

Over 2.5 61.2% 67.6% 1.48 -9.4%

Over 3.5 37.3% 45.5% 2.20 -17.9%

BTTS 61.1% 70.4% 1.42 -13.2%

Home O1.5 45.4% 48.8% 2.05 -6.9%

Away O1.5 47.1% 57.8% 1.73 -18.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 37%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -42.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.1%

A 34% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–0 5.4%

#5 0–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vidar1.4

Eik-Tønsberg1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VIDAR · PPG 0.29

EIK-TØNSBERG · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vidar (H) 41.4%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +18.0%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -6.1%

Eik-Tønsberg (A) 34.1%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -28.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vidar face Eik-Tønsberg in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vidar a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Eik-Tønsberg 34%, so Vidar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Vidar and 1.5 for Eik-Tønsberg (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vidar are averaging 0.29 points per game versus 0.00 for Eik-Tønsberg. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +3.9%.

Vidar vs Eik-Tønsberg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 Predictions