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Kvik Halden vs Mjondalen Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:00

Kvik Halden

PPG 1.86 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Mjondalen

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-16.0%0-24.1%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-07.8%1-110.6%1-27.2%1-33.2%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.9%2-19.3%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.0%3-15.5%3-23.7%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.6%4+-22.4%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.4% 40.8% 2.45 +18.6%

Draw 23.4% 28.6% 3.50 -10.9%

Away win 28.2% 40.8% 2.45 -18.6%

Over 2.5 63.3% 66.7% 1.50 -5.1%

Over 3.5 39.1% 45.5% 2.20 -14.0%

BTTS 61.8% 71.4% 1.40 -13.5%

Home O1.5 49.2% 54.1% 1.85 -9.0%

Away O1.5 43.7% 54.1% 1.85 -19.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -46.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.8%

H 48% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kvik Halden1.8

Mjondalen1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KVIK HALDEN · PPG 1.86

MJONDALEN · PPG 1.43

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.40 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kvik Halden (H) 48.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +18.6%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -10.9%

Mjondalen (A) 28.2%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -18.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kvik Halden face Mjondalen in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kvik Halden a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Mjondalen 28%, so Kvik Halden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Kvik Halden and 1.4 for Mjondalen (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kvik Halden are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.43 for Mjondalen. This match finished 0-1.

Kvik Halden vs Mjondalen Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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