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Olympic Kingsway vs Bayswater City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 07:00

Olympic Kingsway

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bayswater City

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-15.4%0-25.0%0-33.0%0-4+2.1%1 1-05.0%1-19.1%1-28.4%1-35.1%1-4+3.6%2 2-04.2%2-17.7%2-27.1%2-34.3%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.4%3-14.3%3-24.0%3-32.4%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.7%4+-22.5%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.6% 44.4% 2.25 -17.6%

Draw 22.0% 30.3% 3.30 -16.4%

Away win 41.4% 37.0% 2.70 +11.8%

Over 2.5 67.0% 71.4% 1.40 -6.2%

Over 3.5 44.8% 50.0% 2.00 -10.4%

BTTS 63.5% 71.4% 1.40 -11.1%

Home O1.5 49.4% 57.8% 1.73 -14.5%

Away O1.5 49.5% 54.6% 1.83 -9.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.5%

A 41% / xG 1.7-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olympic Kingsway1.7

Bayswater City1.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OLYMPIC KINGSWAY · PPG 1.62

BAYSWATER CITY · PPG 1.70

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Olympic Kingsway (H) 36.6%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -17.6%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -16.4%

Bayswater City (A) 41.4%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +11.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympic Kingsway face Bayswater City in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympic Kingsway a 37% chance, the draw 22% and Bayswater City 41%, so Bayswater City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Olympic Kingsway and 1.8 for Bayswater City (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympic Kingsway are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.70 for Bayswater City. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +0.0%.

Olympic Kingsway vs Bayswater City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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