Today / Australia - Western Australia NPL / Perth Glory II vs Dianella White Eagle

Perth Glory II vs Dianella White Eagle Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 07:00

Perth Glory II logo
Perth Glory II
PPG 0.89 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Dianella White Eagle logo
Dianella White Eagle
PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.0% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.2%0-24.3%0-32.4%0-4+1.5%1 1-05.6%1-19.3%1-27.8%1-34.4%1-4+2.7%2 2-05.0%2-18.4%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.0%3-15.0%3-24.2%3-32.4%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.4%4+-22.9%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 44.7% 34.5% 2.90 +29.6%
Draw 21.6% 27.8% 3.60 -13.3%
Away win 33.7% 50.0% 2.00 -32.6%
Over 2.5 66.0% 75.2% 1.33 -12.2%
Over 3.5 42.1% 55.6% 1.80 -24.2%
BTTS 64.5% 76.9% 1.30 -16.2%
Home O1.5 53.5% 54.6% 1.83 -2.1%
Away O1.5 49.0% 65.4% 1.53 -25.0%

League track record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 72%
Score Hit 38%
ROI 6.4%
Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob64.5%

H 45% / xG 1.8-1.7 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%
#2 2–1 8.4%
#3 1–2 7.8%
#4 2–2 7.0%
#5 3–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Perth Glory II1.8
Dianella White Eagle1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PERTH GLORY II · PPG 0.89

DIANELLA WHITE EAGLE · PPG 0.88

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Perth Glory II (H) 44.7%
ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +29.6%
Draw 21.6%
ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -13.3%
Dianella White Eagle (A) 33.7%
ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -32.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Perth Glory II face Dianella White Eagle in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Perth Glory II a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Dianella White Eagle 34%, so Perth Glory II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Perth Glory II and 1.7 for Dianella White Eagle (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Perth Glory II are averaging 0.89 points per game versus 0.88 for Dianella White Eagle. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +18.6%.

PredictVantage

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