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Kahibah vs Maitland Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Sunday, June 28, 2026, 05:00

Kahibah

PPG 0.88 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWW

UPCOMING

Maitland

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDW

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 69.5% vs bookmaker-implied 79.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-13.6%0-24.5%0-33.8%0-4+4.5%1 1-02.4%1-16.1%1-27.8%1-36.6%1-4+7.7%2 2-02.1%2-15.3%2-26.7%2-35.7%2-4+6.7%3 3-01.2%3-13.1%3-23.9%3-33.3%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.9%4+-22.5%4+-32.1%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.6% 20.0% 5.00 +28.8%

Draw 21.2% 22.7% 4.40 -4.0%

Away win 49.1% 69.4% 1.44 -29.3%

Over 2.5 66.5% 76.9% 1.30 -13.6%

Over 3.5 48.3% 57.8% 1.73 -16.4%

BTTS 68.3% 71.4% 1.40 -4.4%

Home O1.5 52.6% 39.4% 2.54 +33.6%

Away O1.5 69.5% 79.4% 1.26 -12.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 18.7%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob68.3%

A 49% / xG 1.7-2.5 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.8%

#2 1–1 6.1%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 1–3 6.6%

#5 2–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kahibah1.7

Maitland2.5

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.5% · O3.5 PROB 48.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KAHIBAH · PPG 0.88

MAITLAND · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Kahibah (H) 29.6%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +28.8%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -4.0%

Maitland (A) 49.1%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -29.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kahibah face Maitland in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kahibah a 30% chance, the draw 21% and Maitland 49%, so Maitland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kahibah and 2.5 for Maitland (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kahibah are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.88 for Maitland. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +33.6%.

Kahibah vs Maitland Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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