Debrecen vs Ujpest Prediction & Tips

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Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 33 Nagyerdei Stadion· Debrecen Saturday, May 16, 2026 15:15

Debrecen PPG 1.47

2-1 HIT CS2

Ujpest PPG 1.20

Away· +0.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.8%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -12.1%

Draw 24.7%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -4.4%

Away 24.5%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +0.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.60 -5.4%

Over 3.5 36.0% Odds: 2.50 -10.0%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.55 -7.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Debrecen

1.78

Ujpest

1.25

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+0.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 48%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away AVERAGE (1.20)