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Hungary - NB II logo Hungary flag Hungary - NB II Regular Season - 30 Illovszky Rudolf Stadion· Budapest Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:30
Vasas logo Vasas PPG 2.21
2-1 HIT CS5
Ajka logo Ajka PPG 1.21
Away· +42.6% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.1%
Odds: 1.22 EV: -31.6%
Draw 24.9%
Odds: 5.25 EV: +18.4%
Away 19.0%
Odds: 9.00 EV: +42.6%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.73 -17.6%
Over 3.5 23.2% Odds: 2.70 -22.4%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.50 +21.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasas
1.83
Ajka
0.63

Model Suggestion

Home -31.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -31.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+42.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 45%
Score Hit 55%
ROI -21.0%
Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.21) vs P(Home)=56.1%

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