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Soroksar vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 30 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 15:00

Soroksar

PPG 1.50 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Kecskemeti TE

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-18.2%0-26.3%0-33.2%0-4+1.7%1 1-07.5%1-111.5%1-28.7%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.2%2-18.0%2-26.1%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.4%3-13.7%3-22.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.8%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 32.3% 3.10 +12.8%

Draw 26.2% 29.4% 3.40 -6.6%

Away win 37.4% 51.3% 1.95 -27.1%

Over 2.5 59.1% 58.8% 1.70 +0.5%

Over 3.5 33.6% 34.7% 2.88 -3.2%

BTTS 59.7% 59.9% 1.67 -0.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 0–0 5.4%

#5 0–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Soroksar1.4

Kecskemeti TE1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SOROKSAR · PPG 1.50

KECSKEMETI TE · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

Soroksar (H) 36.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +12.8%

Draw 26.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -6.6%

Kecskemeti TE (A) 37.4%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -27.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Soroksar face Kecskemeti TE in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Soroksar a 36% chance, the draw 26% and Kecskemeti TE 37%, so Kecskemeti TE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Soroksar and 1.5 for Kecskemeti TE (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Soroksar are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.21 for Kecskemeti TE. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +12.8%. This match finished 3-0.

Soroksar vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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