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Hungary - NB I logo Hungary flag Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 33 Groupama Arena· Budapest Saturday, May 16, 2026 15:15
Ferencvaros logo Ferencvaros PPG 1.73
3-0 MISS
Zalaegerszegi logo Zalaegerszegi PPG 1.33
Away· +77.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%
Odds: 1.28 EV: -34.2%
Draw 24.4%
Odds: 4.90 EV: +11.7%
Away 24.2%
Odds: 9.50 EV: +77.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.9% Odds: 1.50 -11.7%
Over 3.5 32.6% Odds: 2.25 -26.7%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.80 -1.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Ferencvaros
1.80
Zalaegerszegi
1.08

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -11.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+77.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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