Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 58.9% Odds: 1.50 -11.7%
Over 3.5 32.6% Odds: 2.25 -26.7%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.80 -1.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -11.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+77.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)