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Hungary - NB I logo Hungary flag Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 33 DVTK Stadion· Miskolc Saturday, May 16, 2026 15:15
DVTK logo DVTK PPG 1.07
1-3 HIT CS5
Paks logo Paks PPG 1.38
Home· +36.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.6%
Odds: 5.60 EV: +36.1%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 4.35 EV: +5.5%
Away 46.3%
Odds: 1.46 EV: -32.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.38 -15.3%
Over 3.5 38.4% Odds: 1.91 -26.7%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.44 -14.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

DVTK
1.22
Paks
1.92

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -15.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -15.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+36.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.07) vs Away AVERAGE (1.38)

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