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Mezokovesd vs Bekescsaba Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 30 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 15:00

Mezokovesd

PPG 1.71 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Bekescsaba

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 50.2% vs bookmaker-implied 51.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-18.8%0-23.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.8%1-112.3%1-24.8%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.1%2-18.7%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.2%3-14.0%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-11.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.2% 51.3% 1.95 -2.1%

Draw 26.2% 33.3% 3.00 -12.8%

Away win 23.6% 29.4% 3.40 -11.9%

Over 2.5 46.2% 47.6% 2.10 -3.0%

Over 3.5 17.7% 31.3% 3.20 -26.0%

BTTS 48.6% 57.8% 1.73 -15.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.6%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 15.8%

#3 0–0 11.3%

#4 2–0 11.1%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mezokovesd1.4

Bekescsaba0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MEZOKOVESD · PPG 1.71

BEKESCSABA · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=50.2%

Win probability 1X2

Mezokovesd (H) 50.2%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -2.1%

Draw 26.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -12.8%

Bekescsaba (A) 23.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -11.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mezokovesd face Bekescsaba in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mezokovesd a 50% chance, the draw 26% and Bekescsaba 24%, so Mezokovesd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Mezokovesd and 0.8 for Bekescsaba (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mezokovesd are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.71 for Bekescsaba. This match finished 0-1.

Mezokovesd vs Bekescsaba Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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