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Szeged vs Csakvari Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 30 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 15:00

Szeged

PPG 1.36 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Csakvari

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.2% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-112.5%0-27.1%0-32.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.7%1-113.4%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.3%2-17.2%2-24.1%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.2%3-12.6%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.2% 47.6% 2.10 -26.1%

Draw 28.6% 33.3% 3.00 -8.5%

Away win 36.2% 32.3% 3.10 +12.2%

Over 2.5 46.2% 48.8% 2.05 -5.3%

Over 3.5 18.4% 30.5% 3.28 -23.8%

BTTS 51.2% 57.1% 1.75 -10.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.2%

D 29% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 10.9%

#3 0–1✓ 12.5%

#4 1–0 11.7%

#5 1–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Szeged1.1

Csakvari1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SZEGED · PPG 1.36

CSAKVARI · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Szeged (H) 35.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -26.1%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.5%

Csakvari (A) 36.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +12.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Szeged face Csakvari in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Szeged a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Csakvari 36%, so Csakvari are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Szeged and 1.1 for Csakvari (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Szeged are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.29 for Csakvari. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Szeged vs Csakvari Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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