Today / Hungary - NB II / Tiszakecske vs Szentlorinc

Tiszakecske vs Szentlorinc Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 30 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 15:00

Tiszakecske

PPG 1.57 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Szentlorinc

PPG 0.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-19.9%0-25.1%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.5%1-113.0%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.3%2-18.5%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.6%3-13.8%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 41.7% 2.40 +9.4%

Draw 28.1% 33.3% 3.00 -9.4%

Away win 26.3% 38.2% 2.62 -18.7%

Over 2.5 46.9% 54.1% 1.85 -13.2%

Over 3.5 21.1% 35.3% 2.83 -24.2%

BTTS 51.6% 61.7% 1.62 -16.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 46% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.5%

#3 1–0 12.5%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tiszakecske1.3

Szentlorinc1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.9% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TISZAKECSKE · PPG 1.57

SZENTLORINC · PPG 0.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away POOR (0.79)

Win probability 1X2

Tiszakecske (H) 45.6%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +9.4%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.4%

Szentlorinc (A) 26.3%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -18.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tiszakecske face Szentlorinc in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tiszakecske a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Szentlorinc 26%, so Tiszakecske are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Tiszakecske and 1.0 for Szentlorinc (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tiszakecske are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.79 for Szentlorinc. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Tiszakecske vs Szentlorinc Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB II Predictions