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Huima/Urho vs JBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Group C ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 13:00

Huima/Urho

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

JBK

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 71.1% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.5%0-22.2%0-31.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-03.6%1-16.3%1-25.5%1-33.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.4%2-17.8%2-26.9%2-34.0%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.7%3-16.5%3-25.7%3-33.3%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-17.3%4+-26.4%4+-33.8%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 53.0% 1.95 +3.4%

Draw 21.4% 3.50 -15.1%

Away win 25.6% 3.00 -13.9%

Over 2.5 71.1% 1.36 -3.3%

Over 3.5 48.3% 1.83 -11.6%

BTTS 68.6% 1.33 -8.8%

Home Over 1.5 61.9% 1.50 -7.1%

Away Over 1.5 49.7% 1.80 -10.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 17%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 17%

ROI 2.3%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob68.6%

H 53% / xG 2.5-1.8 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 1–1 6.3%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 3–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huima/Urho2.5

JBK1.8

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.1% · O3.5 PROB 48.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HUIMA/URHO · PPG 1.75

JBK · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Huima/Urho (H) 53.0%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +3.4%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -15.1%

JBK (A) 25.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -13.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huima/Urho face JBK in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huima/Urho a 53% chance, the draw 21% and JBK 26%, so Huima/Urho are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Huima/Urho and 1.8 for JBK (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huima/Urho are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for JBK. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +14.6%.

Huima/Urho vs JBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Match Preview & Prediction

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