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Huima/Urho vs Jaro II Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Group C ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 13:00

Huima/Urho

PPG 1.33 · HOME

7 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Jaro II

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 80.2% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-11.2%0-21.9%0-32.1%0-4+4.0%1 1-00.9%1-12.8%1-24.6%1-35.0%1-4+9.3%2 2-01.0%2-13.3%2-25.4%2-35.8%2-4+10.9%3 3-00.8%3-12.6%3-24.2%3-34.6%3-4+8.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-12.6%4+-24.3%4+-34.7%4+-4+8.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.8% 38.2% 2.62 -13.2%

Draw 18.5% 25.0% 4.00 -15.6%

Away win 51.7% 48.8% 2.05 +6.0%

Over 2.5 80.2% 82.0% 1.22 -2.2%

Over 3.5 61.5% 63.7% 1.57 -3.4%

BTTS 67.3% 82.0% 1.22 -17.9%

Home O1.5 68.8% 61.7% 1.62 +11.5%

Away O1.5 77.8% 69.4% 1.44 +12.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 21%

ROI -2.4%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)3.3 BTTS prob67.3%

A 52% / xG 2.3-3.3 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 5.8%

#2 2–2 5.4%

#3 1–3 5.0%

#4 2–4 4.8%

#5 1–2 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huima/Urho2.3

Jaro II3.3

COMBINED 5.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.2% · O3.5 PROB 61.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HUIMA/URHO · PPG 1.33

JARO II · PPG 2.25

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Huima/Urho (H) 29.8%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -13.2%

Draw 18.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -15.6%

Jaro II (A) 51.7%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huima/Urho face Jaro II in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huima/Urho a 30% chance, the draw 19% and Jaro II 52%, so Jaro II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Huima/Urho and 3.3 for Jaro II (5.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huima/Urho are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 2.25 for Jaro II. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +37.8%. This match finished 7-1.

Huima/Urho vs Jaro II Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C Predictions