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TP-47 vs VPS B Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Group C ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 14:00

TP-47

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

VPS B

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 80.7% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.2%0-21.4%0-31.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-01.5%1-13.5%1-24.2%1-33.3%1-4+3.3%2 2-02.2%2-15.2%2-26.1%2-34.8%2-4+4.9%3 3-02.1%3-15.0%3-25.9%3-34.6%3-4+4.7%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-17.5%4+-28.8%4+-36.9%4+-4+7.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 47.0% 2.20 +3.4%

Draw 20.3% 3.80 -13.7%

Away win 32.8% 2.45 -19.6%

Over 2.5 80.7% 1.20 -3.2%

Over 3.5 53.3% 1.50 -20.1%

BTTS 68.6% 1.22 -16.3%

Home Over 1.5 77.8% 1.44 +12.0%

Away Over 1.5 69.5% 1.53 +6.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 17%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 17%

ROI 2.3%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob68.6%

H 47% / xG 2.9-2.4 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.1%

#2 3–2 5.9%

#3 2–1 5.2%

#4 3–1 5.0%

#5 2–3 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TP-472.9

VPS B2.4

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TP-47 · PPG 1.50

VPS B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

TP-47 (H) 47.0%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +3.4%

Draw 20.3%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -13.7%

VPS B (A) 32.8%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -19.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

TP-47 face VPS B in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TP-47 a 47% chance, the draw 20% and VPS B 33%, so TP-47 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for TP-47 and 2.4 for VPS B (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TP-47 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for VPS B. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +25.1%.

TP-47 vs VPS B Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Match Preview & Prediction

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