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GBK Kokkola vs JS Hercules Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Group C ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 12:00

GBK Kokkola

PPG 0.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

JS Hercules

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.5%0-23.2%0-31.9%0-4+1.4%1 1-04.0%1-17.4%1-26.8%1-34.2%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.3%2-17.9%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-03.1%3-15.6%3-25.2%3-33.2%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.9%4+-24.5%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 1.44 -29.0%

Draw 22.5% 4.20 -3.3%

Away win 28.2% 4.80 +21.2%

Over 2.5 66.3% 1.20 -20.4%

Over 3.5 47.7% 1.50 -28.4%

BTTS 65.8% 1.25 -17.8%

Home Over 1.5 60.6% 1.25 -24.3%

Away Over 1.5 49.7% 1.91 -5.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 17%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 17%

ROI 2.3%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob65.8%

H 49% / xG 2.1-1.8 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.4%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.8%

#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GBK Kokkola2.1

JS Hercules1.8

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GBK KOKKOLA · PPG 0.75

JS HERCULES · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

GBK Kokkola (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -29.0%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -3.3%

JS Hercules (A) 28.2%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +21.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

GBK Kokkola face JS Hercules in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GBK Kokkola a 49% chance, the draw 23% and JS Hercules 28%, so GBK Kokkola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for GBK Kokkola and 1.8 for JS Hercules (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GBK Kokkola are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.75 for JS Hercules. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +40.8%.

GBK Kokkola vs JS Hercules Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C Predictions