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TP-47 vs JBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C logo Finland flag Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C Group C Pohjan Stadium· Tornio Saturday, June 6, 2026 14:00
TP-47 logo TP-47 PPG 1.67
VS PENDING
JBK logo JBK PPG 1.00
Home + Over 2.5· +18.6% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

TP-47 face JBK in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TP-47 a 54% chance, the draw 22% and JBK 24%, so TP-47 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for TP-47 and 1.4 for JBK (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TP-47 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for JBK. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +18.6%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.2%
Odds: 2.00 EV: +8.4%
Draw 21.8%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -16.8%
Away 24.0%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -16.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.4% Odds: 1.40 -8.4%
Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 2.00 -13.8%
BTTS 63.5% Odds: 1.36 -13.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 3-1
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

TP-47
2.31
JBK
1.42

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -8.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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