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TP-47 vs JBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Group C ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 14:00

TP-47

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

JBK

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 68.8% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9% — a clear edge.

+14.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.4%0-22.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-05.5%1-17.8%1-25.6%1-32.6%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.4%2-19.1%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.9%3-17.0%3-25.0%3-32.4%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-17.0%4+-25.0%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.2% 50.0% 2.00 +8.4%

Draw 21.8% 30.3% 3.30 -16.8%

Away win 24.0% 33.3% 3.00 -16.8%

Over 2.5 65.4% 71.4% 1.40 -8.4%

Over 3.5 43.1% 50.0% 2.00 -13.8%

BTTS 63.5% 73.5% 1.36 -13.6%

Home O1.5 68.8% 59.9% 1.67 +14.9%

Away O1.5 32.0% 52.4% 1.91 -38.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 21%

ROI -2.4%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.5%

H 54% / xG 2.3-1.4 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.1%

#2 1–1✓ 7.8%

#3 3–1 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TP-472.3

JBK1.4

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TP-47 · PPG 1.67

JBK · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

TP-47 (H) 54.2%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV +8.4%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -16.8%

JBK (A) 24.0%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -16.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

TP-47 face JBK in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TP-47 a 54% chance, the draw 22% and JBK 24%, so TP-47 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for TP-47 and 1.4 for JBK (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TP-47 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for JBK. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +18.6%. This match finished 1-1.

TP-47 vs JBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Match Preview & Prediction

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