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United Nordic vs Ljungskile SK Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 17 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 13:00

United Nordic

PPG 2.12 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ljungskile SK

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.0% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-17.2%0-24.4%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.5%1-111.6%1-27.1%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.3%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.1%3-15.0%3-23.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.9%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 46.5% 2.15 -0.0%

Draw 25.0% 27.4% 3.65 -5.3%

Away win 28.6% 33.3% 3.00 -8.5%

Over 2.5 59.5% 61.7% 1.62 -3.6%

Over 3.5 34.9% 40.0% 2.50 -12.8%

BTTS 60.0% 67.6% 1.48 -11.2%

Home O1.5 49.4% 54.1% 1.85 -8.6%

Away O1.5 36.5% 44.4% 2.25 -17.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -3.9%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.0%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 9.5%

#4 0–0 5.9%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

United Nordic1.6

Ljungskile SK1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

UNITED NORDIC · PPG 2.12

LJUNGSKILE SK · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.39 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

United Nordic (H) 46.5%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -0.0%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -5.3%

Ljungskile SK (A) 28.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

United Nordic face Ljungskile SK in Sweden - Superettan on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives United Nordic a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Ljungskile SK 29%, so United Nordic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for United Nordic and 1.2 for Ljungskile SK (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, United Nordic are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 1.12 for Ljungskile SK.

United Nordic vs Ljungskile SK Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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