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Landskrona BoIS vs IFK Norrkoping Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 16 ·Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 17:00

Landskrona BoIS

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

IFK Norrkoping

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-115.3%0-28.4%0-33.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.2%1-113.4%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.3%2-15.8%2-23.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.5%3-11.7%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.6% 33.3% 3.00 -2.2%

Draw 31.4% 27.8% 3.60 +13.0%

Away win 36.0% 46.5% 2.15 -22.6%

Over 2.5 43.6% 59.9% 1.67 -27.2%

Over 3.5 23.0% 36.4% 2.75 -22.1%

BTTS 48.5% 64.5% 1.55 -24.8%

Home O1.5 33.3% 42.0% 2.38 -20.8%

Away O1.5 36.4% 52.4% 1.91 -30.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 36%

ROI 0.1%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

D 31% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.0%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–1 15.3%

#4 1–0 12.2%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Landskrona BoIS0.9

IFK Norrkoping1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LANDSKRONA BOIS · PPG 1.71

IFK NORRKOPING · PPG 2.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.22, combined xG 1.97 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Landskrona BoIS (H) 32.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -2.2%

Draw 31.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +13.0%

IFK Norrkoping (A) 36.0%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -22.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Landskrona BoIS face IFK Norrkoping in Sweden - Superettan on Tuesday, July 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Landskrona BoIS a 33% chance, the draw 31% and IFK Norrkoping 36%, so IFK Norrkoping are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Landskrona BoIS and 1.1 for IFK Norrkoping (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Landskrona BoIS are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 2.00 for IFK Norrkoping.

Landskrona BoIS vs IFK Norrkoping Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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