Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Skeid vs Grorud

Skeid vs Grorud Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 12:00

Skeid

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Grorud

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-18.2%0-24.9%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.2%1-112.2%1-27.3%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-19.0%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.8%3-14.5%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.3%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.5% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 27.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.4% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 0–0 6.9%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skeid1.5

Grorud1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SKEID · PPG 1.67

GRORUD · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Skeid (H) 48.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Grorud (A) 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Skeid face Grorud in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skeid a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Grorud 27%, so Skeid are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Skeid and 1.2 for Grorud (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skeid are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.17 for Grorud.

Skeid vs Grorud Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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