Leagues / NORWAY / 2. Division - Group 2
2. Division - Group 2
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 34 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
61.8%
1X2
21/34
73.5%
O/U 2.5
25/34
64.7%
BTTS
22/34
35.3%
Exact score
12/34
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
33
Settled
69.7%
Hit rate
23/33
1.44
Avg odds
-0.6%
ROI
-0.2u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=14 78.6% HIT · AVG 1.42 · +10.5% ROI
BTTS · N=9 55.6% HIT · AVG 1.47 · -19.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=4 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.40 · +3.8% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=4 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.49 · +14.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.62 · -100.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.33 · +33.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
33%
Hit
-55.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+53.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
3
Bets
67%
Hit
-5.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
26
Bets
73%
Hit
+4.1%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 15 PICKS · 12 HIT · 3 MISS
28 JUN Skeid vs Trygg/Lade Over 2.5 -9% 7–1 HIT28 JUN Stjordals-Blink vs Junkeren Over 2.5 -13% 1–1 MISS28 JUN Follo vs Levanger AO1.5 0–2 HIT27 JUN Ull/Kisa vs Rana Over 2.5 +2% 1–3 HIT27 JUN Lorenskog vs Grorud Over 2.5 1–0 MISS27 JUN Kjelsas vs Honefoss BTTS -5% 1–3 HIT26 JUN Eidsvold vs Tromsdalen HO1.5 2–1 HIT21 JUN Honefoss vs Eidsvold Over 2.5 -14% 2–1 HIT21 JUN Trygg.Lade vs Lorenskog AO1.5 1–4 HIT21 JUN Grorud vs Junkeren Over 2.5 -17% 3–0 HIT20 JUN Kjelsas vs Ull.Kisa Over 2.5 +3% 3–0 HIT20 JUN Levanger vs Skeid Over 2.5 -3% 2–1 HIT20 JUN Tromsdalen vs Stjordals-Blink Over 2.5 -4% 2–4 HIT14 JUN Skeid vs Rana BTTS -8% 3–3 HIT14 JUN Lorenskog vs Tromsdalen BTTS -11% 6–0 MISS