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Rana vs Kjelsås Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 10:00

Rana

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kjelsås

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.53 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-16.3%0-26.3%0-34.2%0-4+3.3%1 1-04.6%1-19.2%1-29.2%1-36.1%1-4+4.8%2 2-03.4%2-16.7%2-26.7%2-34.4%2-4+3.5%3 3-01.6%3-13.3%3-23.3%3-32.2%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.7%4+-21.6%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 46.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 42.1% — — —

BTTS 63.9% — — —

Home O1.5 46.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.9%

A 46% / xG 1.5-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 6.7%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rana1.5

Kjelsås2.0

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RANA · PPG 1.40

KJELSÅS · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.53 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Rana (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kjelsås (A) 46.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rana face Kjelsås in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rana a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Kjelsås 46%, so Kjelsås are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Rana and 2.0 for Kjelsås (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rana are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 2.60 for Kjelsås.

Rana vs Kjelsås Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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