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Stjørdals-Blink vs Rana Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:00

Stjørdals-Blink

PPG 0.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rana

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.3%0-24.1%0-32.1%0-4+1.2%1 1-06.2%1-19.6%1-27.5%1-33.9%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.4%3-15.4%3-24.2%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.7%4+-22.9%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 30.3% — — —

Over 2.5 64.0% — — —

Over 3.5 42.5% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 52.0% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.5%

H 47% / xG 1.8-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stjørdals-Blink1.8

Rana1.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.5%

Form & verdict PPG

STJØRDALS-BLINK · PPG 0.83

RANA · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Stjørdals-Blink (H) 46.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rana (A) 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stjørdals-Blink face Rana in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stjørdals-Blink a 47% chance, the draw 23% and Rana 30%, so Stjørdals-Blink are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Stjørdals-Blink and 1.6 for Rana (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stjørdals-Blink are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.17 for Rana.

Stjørdals-Blink vs Rana Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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