Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Kjelsås vs Levanger

Kjelsås vs Levanger Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 13:00

Kjelsås

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Levanger

PPG 2.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-16.5%0-25.4%0-32.9%0-4+1.7%1 1-06.3%1-110.3%1-28.5%1-34.6%1-4+2.8%2 2-05.0%2-18.2%2-26.7%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.6%3-14.3%3-23.5%3-31.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.4%4+-22.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 45.5% 2.20 -19.9%

Draw 23.1% 28.2% 3.55 -10.8%

Away win 40.6% 36.4% 2.75 +11.7%

Over 2.5 63.6% 64.5% 1.55 -1.4%

Over 3.5 40.1% 42.0% 2.38 -4.6%

BTTS 62.1% 69.0% 1.45 -10.0%

Home O1.5 49.0% 55.6% 1.80 -11.8%

Away O1.5 48.0% 47.6% 2.10 +0.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.1%

A 41% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–0 4.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kjelsås1.6

Levanger1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KJELSÅS · PPG 2.14

LEVANGER · PPG 2.57

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kjelsås (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -19.9%

Draw 23.1%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -10.8%

Levanger (A) 40.6%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +11.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kjelsås face Levanger in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kjelsås a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Levanger 41%, so Levanger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kjelsås and 1.6 for Levanger (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kjelsås are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 2.57 for Levanger. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +0.8%.

Kjelsås vs Levanger Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions