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Trygg/Lade vs Eidsvold Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 12:00

Trygg/Lade

PPG 0.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eidsvold

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.84 for Away, form 0.80 vs 2.17

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-16.1%0-28.6%0-38.2%0-4+11.7%1 1-02.1%1-16.1%1-28.7%1-38.2%1-4+11.7%2 2-01.1%2-13.1%2-24.3%2-34.1%2-4+5.9%3 3-00.4%3-11.0%3-21.5%3-31.4%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% — — —

Draw 17.3% — — —

Away win 68.9% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 49.1% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 68.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 76%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob62.5%

A 69% / xG 1.0-2.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.7%

#2 0–2 8.6%

#3 1–3 8.2%

#4 0–3 8.2%

#5 1–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trygg/Lade1.0

Eidsvold2.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 49.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TRYGG/LADE · PPG 0.80

EIDSVOLD · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.84 for Away, form 0.80 vs 2.17

Win probability 1X2

Trygg/Lade (H) 13.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eidsvold (A) 68.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trygg/Lade face Eidsvold in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trygg/Lade a 14% chance, the draw 17% and Eidsvold 69%, so Eidsvold are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Trygg/Lade and 2.8 for Eidsvold (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trygg/Lade are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 2.17 for Eidsvold.

Trygg/Lade vs Eidsvold Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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