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Eidsvold vs Junkeren Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:00

Eidsvold

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Junkeren

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-13.3%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.0%1-17.7%1-22.7%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.0%2-19.1%2-23.2%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.3%3-17.2%3-22.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-010.6%4+-17.4%4+-22.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.1% 82.0% 1.22 -21.8%

Draw 20.5% 17.4% 5.75 +10.7%

Away win 15.4% 10.9% 9.20 +25.0%

Over 2.5 61.6% 76.9% 1.30 -19.9%

Over 3.5 39.4% 56.5% 1.77 -30.3%

BTTS 52.6% 62.5% 1.60 -15.8%

Home O1.5 60.1% 83.3% 1.20 -27.9%

Away O1.5 20.3% 28.2% 3.55 -16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.6%

H 64% / xG 2.4-0.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.0%

#2 3–0 10.3%

#3 1–0 11.0%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 1–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eidsvold2.4

Junkeren0.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

EIDSVOLD · PPG 2.17

JUNKEREN · PPG 0.67

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.67 for Home, form 2.17 vs 0.67 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Eidsvold (H) 64.1%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -21.8%

Draw 20.5%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV +10.7%

Junkeren (A) 15.4%

ODDS 9.20 · IMPLIED 10.9% EV +25.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eidsvold face Junkeren in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eidsvold a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Junkeren 15%, so Eidsvold are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Eidsvold and 0.7 for Junkeren (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eidsvold are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.67 for Junkeren.

Eidsvold vs Junkeren Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions