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Ull/Kisa vs Tromsdalen Uil Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:00

Ull/Kisa

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tromsdalen Uil

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.6%0-23.1%0-32.5%0-4+2.6%1 1-02.3%1-15.5%1-26.6%1-35.3%1-4+5.6%2 2-02.4%2-15.9%2-27.0%2-35.6%2-4+6.0%3 3-01.7%3-14.2%3-25.0%3-34.0%3-4+4.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-13.7%4+-24.4%4+-33.5%4+-4+3.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 40.1% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 53.3% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob70.3%

A 40% / xG 2.1-2.4 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.0%

#2 1–2 6.6%

#3 1–1 5.5%

#4 2–1 5.9%

#5 2–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ull/Kisa2.1

Tromsdalen Uil2.4

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ULL/KISA · PPG 1.00

TROMSDALEN UIL · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ull/Kisa (H) 38.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tromsdalen Uil (A) 40.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ull/Kisa face Tromsdalen Uil in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ull/Kisa a 39% chance, the draw 21% and Tromsdalen Uil 40%, so Tromsdalen Uil are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Ull/Kisa and 2.4 for Tromsdalen Uil (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ull/Kisa are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Tromsdalen Uil.

Ull/Kisa vs Tromsdalen Uil Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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