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Dalian Huayi vs Shaanxi Union Prediction— China - League One

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:00

Dalian Huayi

PPG 1.38 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shaanxi Union

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.35, combined xG 2.49 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-111.8%0-28.4%0-34.0%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.8%1-112.6%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.7%2-16.7%2-24.8%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.7%3-12.4%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.8% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 41.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -40.4%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.4%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.3%

#3 0–1 11.8%

#4 1–2 9.0%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalian Huayi1.1

Shaanxi Union1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DALIAN HUAYI · PPG 1.38

SHAANXI UNION · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.35, combined xG 2.49 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dalian Huayi (H) 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shaanxi Union (A) 41.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalian Huayi face Shaanxi Union in China - League One on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalian Huayi a 33% chance, the draw 26% and Shaanxi Union 42%, so Shaanxi Union are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Dalian Huayi and 1.4 for Shaanxi Union (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalian Huayi are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.00 for Shaanxi Union.

Dalian Huayi vs Shaanxi Union Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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