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Mt Druitt Town vs Hakoah Sydney City Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 08:00

Mt Druitt Town

PPG 0.92 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hakoah Sydney City

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.7%0-27.2%0-34.5%0-4+3.2%1 1-05.4%1-110.2%1-29.5%1-35.9%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.6%2-16.7%2-26.3%2-33.9%2-4+2.8%3 3-01.6%3-13.0%3-22.8%3-31.7%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.4% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 43.9% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 40.1% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 50.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob62.1%

A 44% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mt Druitt Town1.3

Hakoah Sydney City1.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MT DRUITT TOWN · PPG 0.92

HAKOAH SYDNEY CITY · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.54 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Mt Druitt Town (H) 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hakoah Sydney City (A) 43.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mt Druitt Town face Hakoah Sydney City in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mt Druitt Town a 32% chance, the draw 24% and Hakoah Sydney City 44%, so Hakoah Sydney City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Mt Druitt Town and 1.9 for Hakoah Sydney City (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mt Druitt Town are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 1.00 for Hakoah Sydney City.

Mt Druitt Town vs Hakoah Sydney City Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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