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Bulls Academy vs Macarthur Rams Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 07:00

Bulls Academy

PPG 1.45 · HOME

UPCOMING

Macarthur Rams

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-19.9%0-26.3%0-32.7%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.0%1-112.7%1-28.0%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.4%2-18.1%2-25.2%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.7%3-13.5%3-22.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% 47.6% 2.10 -20.0%

Draw 26.2% 26.7% 3.75 -1.1%

Away win 35.7% 37.0% 2.70 -3.6%

Over 2.5 53.4% 61.7% 1.62 -13.5%

Over 3.5 32.2% 39.7% 2.52 -18.9%

BTTS 55.4% 66.2% 1.51 -16.4%

Home O1.5 37.5% 52.4% 1.91 -28.4%

Away O1.5 36.6% 44.1% 2.27 -16.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.4%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 7.8%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulls Academy1.3

Macarthur Rams1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLS ACADEMY · PPG 1.45

MACARTHUR RAMS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bulls Academy (H) 38.1%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -20.0%

Draw 26.2%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -1.1%

Macarthur Rams (A) 35.7%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -3.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulls Academy face Macarthur Rams in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulls Academy a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Macarthur Rams 36%, so Bulls Academy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bulls Academy and 1.3 for Macarthur Rams (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulls Academy are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 2.00 for Macarthur Rams.

Bulls Academy vs Macarthur Rams Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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