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Canterbury Bankstown vs Dulwich Hill Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 07:00

Canterbury Bankstown

PPG 1.58 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dulwich Hill

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.7%0-21.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.3%1-16.9%1-24.5%1-32.0%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.8%2-18.9%2-25.8%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.8%3-17.7%3-25.0%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-19.2%4+-26.0%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.9% 61.7% 1.62 -6.2%

Draw 21.0% 25.0% 4.00 -9.6%

Away win 21.1% 25.0% 4.00 -9.4%

Over 2.5 67.0% 69.4% 1.44 -3.5%

Over 3.5 44.9% 47.2% 2.12 -4.8%

BTTS 63.5% 68.5% 1.46 -7.3%

Home O1.5 64.0% 67.1% 1.49 -4.6%

Away O1.5 41.8% 39.4% 2.54 +6.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.5%

H 58% / xG 2.6-1.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.9%

#2 1–1 6.9%

#3 3–1 7.7%

#4 2–0 6.8%

#5 3–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Canterbury Bankstown2.6

Dulwich Hill1.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CANTERBURY BANKSTOWN · PPG 1.58

DULWICH HILL · PPG 0.92

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.27 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Canterbury Bankstown (H) 57.9%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -6.2%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -9.6%

Dulwich Hill (A) 21.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -9.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Canterbury Bankstown face Dulwich Hill in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canterbury Bankstown a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Dulwich Hill 21%, so Canterbury Bankstown are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Canterbury Bankstown and 1.3 for Dulwich Hill (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canterbury Bankstown are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 0.92 for Dulwich Hill. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +6.2%.

Canterbury Bankstown vs Dulwich Hill Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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