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Hakoah Sydney City vs Rydalmere Lions Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 06:30

Hakoah Sydney City

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rydalmere Lions

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.5% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.7%0-25.2%0-32.7%0-4+1.5%1 1-06.8%1-110.6%1-28.3%1-34.3%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.4%2-18.5%2-26.6%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.9%3-14.5%3-23.5%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.6%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.4% 58.8% 1.70 -31.3%

Draw 25.0% 25.0% 4.00 0.0%

Away win 34.6% 26.7% 3.75 +29.8%

Over 2.5 62.0% 69.4% 1.44 -10.7%

Over 3.5 39.9% 52.1% 1.92 -23.4%

BTTS 62.5% 71.4% 1.40 -12.5%

Home O1.5 51.5% 70.9% 1.41 -27.4%

Away O1.5 49.0% 42.0% 2.38 +16.6%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.5%

H 40% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hakoah Sydney City1.6

Rydalmere Lions1.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HAKOAH SYDNEY CITY · PPG 1.50

RYDALMERE LIONS · PPG 1.75

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Hakoah Sydney City (H) 40.4%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -31.3%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV 0.0%

Rydalmere Lions (A) 34.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +29.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hakoah Sydney City face Rydalmere Lions in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hakoah Sydney City a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Rydalmere Lions 35%, so Hakoah Sydney City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Hakoah Sydney City and 1.6 for Rydalmere Lions (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hakoah Sydney City are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.75 for Rydalmere Lions. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +16.6%.

Hakoah Sydney City vs Rydalmere Lions Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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