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Central Coast II vs Bulls Academy Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 05:00

Central Coast II

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bulls Academy

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-14.8%0-24.9%0-33.3%0-4+2.6%1 1-04.1%1-18.3%1-28.3%1-35.6%1-4+4.5%2 2-03.5%2-17.1%2-27.2%2-34.8%2-4+3.9%3 3-02.0%3-14.1%3-24.1%3-32.8%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.6%4+-22.6%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% 37.0% 2.70 -2.8%

Draw 21.6% 26.7% 3.75 -11.4%

Away win 42.4% 47.6% 2.10 -11.0%

Over 2.5 67.0% 69.4% 1.44 -3.5%

Over 3.5 44.5% 50.8% 1.97 -12.3%

BTTS 64.5% 74.6% 1.34 -13.6%

Home O1.5 53.5% 54.1% 1.85 -1.0%

Away O1.5 49.0% 59.2% 1.69 -17.2%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob64.5%

A 42% / xG 1.7-2.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 1–2 8.3%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Coast II1.7

Bulls Academy2.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL COAST II · PPG 1.00

BULLS ACADEMY · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Central Coast II (H) 36.0%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -2.8%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -11.4%

Bulls Academy (A) 42.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -11.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Coast II face Bulls Academy in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Coast II a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Bulls Academy 42%, so Bulls Academy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Central Coast II and 2.0 for Bulls Academy (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Coast II are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.31 for Bulls Academy. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +8.8%.

Central Coast II vs Bulls Academy Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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