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Central Coast II vs Inter Lions Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 05:00

Central Coast II

PPG 0.92 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter Lions

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.0% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-14.9%0-23.7%0-31.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.3%1-19.5%1-27.1%1-33.5%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.8%3-15.8%3-24.3%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-14.3%4+-23.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.6% 37.0% 2.70 +28.5%

Draw 22.7% 26.3% 3.80 -8.2%

Away win 29.7% 47.6% 2.10 -22.6%

Over 2.5 64.0% 66.7% 1.50 -4.0%

Over 3.5 42.1% 46.7% 2.14 -9.9%

BTTS 63.5% 71.9% 1.39 -11.7%

Home O1.5 53.6% 51.3% 1.95 +4.5%

Away O1.5 48.0% 56.8% 1.76 -15.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.5%

H 48% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Coast II1.9

Inter Lions1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL COAST II · PPG 0.92

INTER LIONS · PPG 0.75

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Central Coast II (H) 47.6%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +28.5%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -8.2%

Inter Lions (A) 29.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -22.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Coast II face Inter Lions in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Coast II a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Inter Lions 30%, so Central Coast II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Central Coast II and 1.5 for Inter Lions (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Coast II are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 0.75 for Inter Lions. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +4.5%.

Central Coast II vs Inter Lions Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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