Ponferradina vs Athletic B. B Prediction & Tips

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 38 Estadio El Toralín· Ponferrada Saturday, May 23, 2026 16:30

Ponferradina PPG 1.67

1-0 HIT CS2

Athletic B. B PPG 1.06

Away· +84.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Home 47.5%

Odds: 1.33 EV: -36.8%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +8.2%

Away 24.1%

Odds: 10.00 EV: +84.6%

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 45.9% Odds: 2.10 -3.6%

Over 3.5 14.7% Odds: 3.85 -26.0%

BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.50 +21.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✔

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Ponferradina

1.27

Athletic B. B

0.76

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -35.1%

Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)