Pontevedra vs Real Aviles Prediction & Tips

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 38 Estadio Municipal de Pasarón· Pontevedra Saturday, May 23, 2026 16:30

Pontevedra PPG 1.72

2-2 MISS

Real Aviles PPG 1.22

Over2.5· +0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 51.8%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -10.4%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -7.2%

Away 22.6%

Odds: 4.40 EV: -0.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.91 +0.5%

Over 3.5 26.6% Odds: 3.25 -8.1%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.80 -7.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Pontevedra

1.70

Real Aviles

0.91

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +0.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is +0.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -35.1%

Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.72) > Away AVERAGE (1.22)