Barakaldo vs Celta Vigo B Prediction & Tips

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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 38 Campo de Lasesarre· Barakaldo Saturday, May 23, 2026 16:30

Barakaldo PPG 2.22

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Celta Vigo B PPG 1.67

Away· +5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.5%

Odds: 1.91 EV: -11.2%

Draw 27.7%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -11.8%

Away 25.8%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +5.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.93 -8.1%

Over 3.5 23.3% Odds: 3.20 -15.3%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.70 -12.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Barakaldo

1.41

Celta Vigo B

1.05

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+5.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.22) > Away GOOD (1.67)