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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 38 Estadio Anxo Carro· Lugo Saturday, May 23, 2026 16:30
Lugo logo Lugo PPG 1.61
0-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Arenteiro logo Arenteiro PPG 0.44
Away· +49.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -35.2%
Draw 30.1%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +17.4%
Away 23.5%
Odds: 7.75 EV: +49.3%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 1.83 -35.9%
Over 3.5 12.0% Odds: 3.00 -38.4%
BTTS 46.8% Odds: 2.00 -6.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Lugo
1.18
Arenteiro
0.69

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.61) vs P(Home)=46.3%

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