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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 38 Estadio Municipal de Fadura· Getxo Saturday, May 23, 2026 16:30
Arenas Club logo Arenas Club PPG 2.00
1-0 HIT CS5
Zamora logo Zamora PPG 1.44
Home· +7.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.9%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +7.7%
Draw 27.3%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -9.2%
Away 36.8%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -17.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.05 -2.4%
Over 3.5 24.6% Odds: 3.75 -4.7%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.80 -5.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Arenas Club
1.21
Zamora
1.30

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+7.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -35.1%
Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)

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